AP Polls - McCain, Obama Even

[Michael Larson]

It could be a long election night.

Maybe it would be better to commit now to going to bed and getting a good nights sleep.

[Steven C. Waskewicz]

Spread these around your email networks...

Finally... somebody doing some decent ads.



Chicken
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=geaYuQq5Gag&eurl

Bad Associates
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UI7kDtlOpaQ&eurl

#1 - The Most Liberal Senator
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ACA5JqujQ54&eurl

Balloon
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nUIjCvjzJtI&eurl

Obama $ 3/4 Billion in Earmark requests, McCain $0 in 26 years

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciJEweS-4mw&eurl

Energy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vcg6J5QgnE&eurl

Truth about William Ayers
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7sDcKHd_fvU&eurl

Babies are a Punishment
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZF-_EZ8mb0&eurl

[Stephen W. Stanczyk]

Released today October 23, 2008

University of Wisconsin polls.


Indiana - Obama 51% - McCain 41%

Iowa - Obama 52% - McCain 39%

Michigan - Obama 58% - McCain 37%

Minnesota - Obama 57% - McCain 38%

Ohio - Obama 52% - McCain 38%

Pennsylvania - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Wisconsin - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Illinois - Obama 61% - McCain 32%

Florida - Obama 49% - McCain 44%

And in today's Quinnipiac University results

Ohio - Obama 52% - McCain 38%

Pennsylvania - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Florida - Obama 48% - McCain 44%

[Michael Larson]

Most Accurate Pollster of Election 2004

Final Certified Results Reveal TIPP as the Most Accurate Pollster of Election 2004

An analysis of the presidential election's final certified results shows that TIPP's daily tracking polls proved to be the most accurate in terms of predicting the winner and his margin of victory. Among the four national daily tracking polls, TIPP came closest to projecting Bush's actual margin of victory (2.1% projected vs. 2.5% actual).

TIPP also outperformed a field of 11 other national, non-tracking pre-election polls, coming within just four-tenths of a percentage point to predicting Bush’s actual margin of victory (2.1% projected vs. 2.5% actual).

TIPP predicted the winner of the election in several pre-election venues, including CNBC’s Kudlow and Cramer and in the pages of Investor’s Business Daily.

"We developed strong tracking metrics and voter models that allowed us to accurately predict the election's outcome,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP. "These metrics enabled us to minimize error and capture trends as they developed. We had our finger on the pulse of America throughout all of its palpitations."

Daily Tracking by the Nation's Most Accurate Pollster!
Sign Up for Our Daily Tracking Reports Today!
Results of TIPP's Election 2008 Tracking Poll
Beginning October 13th, TIPP began publishing the results of its 2008 Presidential race trackign poll. The table below shows results for a two-way race between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama among likely voters.

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

Date McCain Obama Undecided Spread

October 23 43.7% 44.8% 11.6% +1.1 Obama
October 22 42.0% 45.7% 12.3% +3.7 Obama
October 21 40.9% 46.9% 12.1% +6.0 Obama

[Michael Bazzo, CMI]

Originally Posted by sstanczyk

Released today October 23, 2008

University of Wisconsin polls.


Indiana - Obama 51% - McCain 41%

Iowa - Obama 52% - McCain 39%

Michigan - Obama 58% - McCain 37%

Minnesota - Obama 57% - McCain 38%

Ohio - Obama 52% - McCain 38%

Pennsylvania - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Wisconsin - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Illinois - Obama 61% - McCain 32%

Florida - Obama 49% - McCain 44%

And in today's Quinnipiac University results

Ohio - Obama 52% - McCain 38%

Pennsylvania - Obama 53% - McCain 40%

Florida - Obama 48% - McCain 44%

Polls are a complete waste of time, why even bother with meaning less bits of information that can't come close to being accurate?

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Originally Posted by mbazzo

Polls are a complete waste of time, why even bother with meaning less bits of information that can't come close to being accurate?

Unless of course they show your guy in front, right?

Pulleeze.

[Michael Bazzo, CMI]

Originally Posted by jburkeson1

Unless of course they show your guy in front, right?

Pulleeze.

Polls are not a predictor of the next president, whether it be my guy or not. get use to it

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Originally Posted by mbazzo

Polls are not a predictor of the next president, whether it be my guy or not. get use to it

Of course you are right, the only thing that really matters is the Electoral Vote count, that is how someone becomes president.

As of October 24th this is what the probable map looks like... Obama 375 McCain 157 Ties 6, but who knows what is really going to happen on election day so keep the lies & dirt on Obama coming.

Obama's Lead Keeps Growing

With 33 new polls in today, including eight from key Midwestern states, Barack Obama's lead keeps increasing. It is largely due to people's concerns about the economy, but Colin Powell's endorsement Sunday no doubt helped alleviate fears about his ability to handle national security. Our total now shows Obama at 375 electoral votes, the highest total we have seen for any candidate in either 2004 or 2008. Unless John McCain can pull a rabbit out of the hat next week, it looks bad for him. New polls show Obama with a 10-point lead in Indiana and a 4-point lead in Montana, two very red states. If McCain is going have to fight for deep red states, the swing states are going to be very tough for him. The NY Times has a good analysis of where we are now.

[Randy D. Stufflebeem]

Interesting when you look into some of these polls!

For example the Catholic vote is quickly turning to McCain after Obama owned it a month ago. There are many us! From what I can see being involved in our regions board of Catholic education and a member of the 5 region diocese I can see this number increasing from 11% over Obama to 25% or so.

Another poll, says Obama is now garnering 80% of the Democrat vote! That is all good! In 2000 on this same polling place Gore garnered 92% of the Dem vote! In 2004, Kerry had a very respectable 89% of the vote. The down side is Gore & Kerry both lost! I just looked at this poll yesterday or the day before and for the life of me I can't remember which one it was. Maybe AP or the business one.

I had some more stuff but I can't remember.
Wheres Mike when you need the fact machine started up!
Time for a Bud-Lite!

[Randy D. Stufflebeem]

Man! 7:30PM still no Bud-Lite!

[Russell J. Hensel]

I agree with the whatever poll.........Obama 44.1 McCain 44.0 and Obama wins the electoral college. Happy? I will give the righties this McCain is a sure thing for second place. Congrats!

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Originally Posted by rhensel

I agree with the whatever poll.........Obama 44.1 McCain 44.0 and Obama wins the electoral college. Happy? I will give the righties this McCain is a sure thing for second place. Congrats!

The consolation is that McCain is slated to win a landslide victory over Ralph Nader.

[dmcauley]

Who can really trust polls. Didn't the polls taken in the primaries of Iowa indicate that Clinton would win and indeed she did not. In fact she placed third. (Please correct the state if I am in error). The one poll that really counts and truly indicates who had more voters is the one on Nov. 4.

Whether you are for Obama, McCain, Nader, or anyone else on the ballot, just vote and vote intelligently using correct facts. Not facts from You Tube, Wikipedia, or outlets like that.

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Originally Posted by dmcauley

Whether you are for Obama, McCain, Nader, or anyone else on the ballot, just vote and vote intelligently using correct facts. Not facts from You Tube, Wikipedia, or outlets like that.

Yeah, for REAL truth make sure you glue your knob on FauxNews.