InterNACHI


Go Back   InterNACHI Inspection Forum > General Inspection Topics > Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors

Notices

Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors Discuss whatever you wish in this forum.

 
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
  #1  
Old 7/31/08, 11:03 AM
William J. Decker's Avatar
William J. Decker William J. Decker is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Skokie, IL
Posts: 7,785
Default The Economy is OK.

Not great, not even good, but OK.

Fact: 2nd Qtr, 2008. GDP up 1.9%.

Fact: The definition of recession is 2 or more consecutive qtrs of negative growth.

Fact: We have not even experienced 1 MONTH of negative GDP growth, but many (especially the Dems and their toadies in the Mainstream Media) keep saying we are in a depression.

Consider: Look at these two articles. The first from AP and the 2nd from Reuters.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080731/economy.html?.v=19

http://www.reuters.com/article/busin...rpc=23&sp=true

Both articles seem to take the same news (2nd qtr growth at 1.9%) bur spin it in different ways. The AP articles stresses that things are getting worse, while the Reuters article is more upbeat.

And note that the AP article keeps pounding home that the exonomic stimulus checks didn't help while the Reuters article stresses that they did. In fact, they pretty much had no effect and were a stupid idea in the first place (See yesterday's articles about the deficit reaching an all time high).

My point is that there are facts out there, facts that can be read and, with a little bit of education so that the individual knows to read and understand the information, people can see for themselves how the economy is doing and plan their lives.

BUT, if you are lazy, uninformed and rely on the press to not only give you the objective facts, but also to "analyze and interpret" if for you, you will be little more than a manipulated sheep, easy pray for the political wolves.

Think about it.



Will Decker, CMI
ILL License # 450.0002240
Board Certified Master Inspector
Decker Home Services, LLC
Chicago and Northern Suburban Home Inspections
Office: (847) 676-8393
Cell: (847) 609-2345
Home: (847) 673-2702

wjd@DeckerHomeServices.com
www.DeckerHomeServices.com

Learn, Educate, Serve and have fun doing it!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 7/31/08, 11:16 AM
Bob Elliott's Avatar
Bob Elliott Bob Elliott is online now
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 21,908
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Spoken lke a true Republican.

Got any cake?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 7/31/08, 11:32 AM
John McKenna's Avatar
John McKenna John McKenna is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Crockett, Tx
Posts: 12,303
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

We have pockets of recession, but on a nation wide basis, we are still floating
above that point.



John McKenna, CMI (TREC #4565)
Executive Director - Master Inspector Certification Board
25 Yrs Constr Exp - 13 Yrs Home Inspector Exp
American Home Inspection - East Texas.

Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 7/31/08, 11:37 AM
William J. Decker's Avatar
William J. Decker William J. Decker is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Skokie, IL
Posts: 7,785
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by relliott
Spoken lke a true Republican.

Got any cake?
Hey, Bob. Facts are facts. Look for yourself.

And, I am NOT a Republican. I am a Conservative.



Will Decker, CMI
ILL License # 450.0002240
Board Certified Master Inspector
Decker Home Services, LLC
Chicago and Northern Suburban Home Inspections
Office: (847) 676-8393
Cell: (847) 609-2345
Home: (847) 673-2702

wjd@DeckerHomeServices.com
www.DeckerHomeServices.com

Learn, Educate, Serve and have fun doing it!
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 7/31/08, 11:44 AM
rbrady's Avatar
rbrady rbrady is offline
Active Poster
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Eureka, CA
Posts: 619
Please Note: rbrady is a non-member guest and is in no way affiliated with InterNACHI or its members.
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wdecker
Fact: We have not even experienced 1 MONTH of negative GDP growth, but many (especially the Dems and their toadies in the Mainstream Media) keep saying we are in a depression.
It looks like you got your facts wrong

from your reference article:

"the outright contraction in the economy during the final quarter of last year."


That was revised from a reported growth of 2.6%. I wonder what the second quarter revision will be. Is that growth rate adusted for inflation??
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 7/31/08, 11:46 AM
Bob Elliott's Avatar
Bob Elliott Bob Elliott is online now
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 21,908
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

So you vote for the conservitive party?

Will the economy is doing bad when resale shops get lots of business.

Right now resale shops are getting lots of business.

Yes it is that simple to figure.

You can pull all the rerouted and edited information in the world out of a hat, yet ,regular Joes do not do anything but get watery eyes trying to decifer the lingo in Lawyer language ,designed to sparkle in any color the sponsor chooses.
In the real world many people are languishing under same salary and higher taxes too go along with higher bills.
Even DaleyTown admits that revenue is hurting from lack of increase in property taxes to fund all the constant corruption.

We can admit all the problems occuring in the real world outside or continue to fiddle. (choice is yours)
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 7/31/08, 11:57 AM
William J. Decker's Avatar
William J. Decker William J. Decker is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Skokie, IL
Posts: 7,785
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rbrady
It looks like you got your facts wrong

from your reference article:

"the outright contraction in the economy during the final quarter of last year."


That was revised from a reported growth of 2.6%. I wonder what the second quarter revision will be. Is that growth rate adusted for inflation??
This is exactly what I mean, Ralph.

4th qtr GDP for 2007 was 2.2%. This was down from 2.6% 3rd qtr 2007.

It it a "contraction" (i.e., 2.2 is less than 2.6?). Yes.

Is it negative growth? No.

Please, read the actual numbers, not the "interpretation" of the numbers, which will give you the wrong idea (and is, often, meant to). The actual numbers are public record and available at the treasury dept web site. Interpret them for yourself.



Will Decker, CMI
ILL License # 450.0002240
Board Certified Master Inspector
Decker Home Services, LLC
Chicago and Northern Suburban Home Inspections
Office: (847) 676-8393
Cell: (847) 609-2345
Home: (847) 673-2702

wjd@DeckerHomeServices.com
www.DeckerHomeServices.com

Learn, Educate, Serve and have fun doing it!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 7/31/08, 11:59 AM
John McKenna's Avatar
John McKenna John McKenna is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Crockett, Tx
Posts: 12,303
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

The BBC News...

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7535313.stm
US economic growth stays positive

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7373158.stm



It's not a recession yet, based on real numbers.



John McKenna, CMI (TREC #4565)
Executive Director - Master Inspector Certification Board
25 Yrs Constr Exp - 13 Yrs Home Inspector Exp
American Home Inspection - East Texas.

Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 7/31/08, 12:07 PM
Bob Elliott's Avatar
Bob Elliott Bob Elliott is online now
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 21,908
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

I can list the entire formula for PI (circumference of a circle)
and state that it proves the Mayan's are right about earth's destruction in 2012.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 7/31/08, 12:09 PM
rbrady's Avatar
rbrady rbrady is offline
Active Poster
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Eureka, CA
Posts: 619
Please Note: rbrady is a non-member guest and is in no way affiliated with InterNACHI or its members.
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

"along with the negative GDP in the fourth quarter of last year -- may rekindle recession fears."

"Instead, GDP contracted by 0.2 percent, on an annualized basis, in the last three months of 2007, according to annual revisions released by the government."

From the BBC article:
"Growth in the last three months of 2007 was downgraded from the previous reading of 0.6% to show a negative growth figure of -0.2%. "

I don't see how you can interrupt that as positive GDP growth.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 7/31/08, 12:17 PM
Michael Larson's Avatar
Michael Larson Michael Larson is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hudson, WI including the Twin Cities of MN
Posts: 32,051
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by relliott
I can list the entire formula for PI (circumference of a circle)
and state that it proves the Mayan's are right about earth's destruction in 2012.
Formula for PI.

It's a constant, not a formula for a circle.


Words means things and their definitions are what they are not what you imagine they are.



You can argue with intelligent people but to argue with a mush head is like trying to grab fog-Thomas Sowell

Never underestimate the difficulty of changing false beliefs by facts. - Henry Rosovsky-Harvard

Michael Larson
Hudson, WI

Services provided in East MN and West WI

[/I]
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 7/31/08, 12:18 PM
John McKenna's Avatar
John McKenna John McKenna is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Crockett, Tx
Posts: 12,303
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rbrady
"along with the negative GDP in the fourth quarter of last year -- may rekindle recession fears."

"Instead, GDP contracted by 0.2 percent, on an annualized basis, in the last three months of 2007, according to annual revisions released by the government."

Still not a recession.

From the BBC article:
"Growth in the last three months of 2007 was downgraded from the previous reading of 0.6% to show a negative growth figure of -0.2%. "

Still not a recession.


I don't see how you can interrupt that as positive GDP growth.

Overall, it is still moving up.
Read the title of the BBC article.

" US economic growth stays positive"

Why did they say that? Write them a letter and correct them.



John McKenna, CMI (TREC #4565)
Executive Director - Master Inspector Certification Board
25 Yrs Constr Exp - 13 Yrs Home Inspector Exp
American Home Inspection - East Texas.


Last edited by jmckenna1; 7/31/08 at 12:23 PM..
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 7/31/08, 12:19 PM
Michael Larson's Avatar
Michael Larson Michael Larson is offline
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hudson, WI including the Twin Cities of MN
Posts: 32,051
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rbrady
"along with the negative GDP in the fourth quarter of last year -- may rekindle recession fears."

"Instead, GDP contracted by 0.2 percent, on an annualized basis, in the last three months of 2007, according to annual revisions released by the government."

From the BBC article:
"Growth in the last three months of 2007 was downgraded from the previous reading of 0.6% to show a negative growth figure of -0.2%. "

I don't see how you can interrupt that as positive GDP growth.
We're not there yet(recession) stay tuned.

We won't know is was until after it has been.



You can argue with intelligent people but to argue with a mush head is like trying to grab fog-Thomas Sowell

Never underestimate the difficulty of changing false beliefs by facts. - Henry Rosovsky-Harvard

Michael Larson
Hudson, WI

Services provided in East MN and West WI

[/I]
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 7/31/08, 12:21 PM
rbrady's Avatar
rbrady rbrady is offline
Active Poster
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Eureka, CA
Posts: 619
Please Note: rbrady is a non-member guest and is in no way affiliated with InterNACHI or its members.
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jmckenna1
Read the title of the BBC article.

" US economic growth stays positive"

Why did they say that? Write them a letter and correct them.
The headline is only talking about the latest quarter figures. I actually read more than the headline. Are you disputing the quotes from the article?
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 7/31/08, 12:22 PM
Bob Elliott's Avatar
Bob Elliott Bob Elliott is online now
InterNACHI Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 21,908
Default Re: The Economy is OK.

Mike PI is diameter of a circle x 3.54183 or something like that.

Any way the key above is that you used the adjective YET

Pretty big admission for a George Lover.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Media Gloom While Economy Roars jmckenna1 Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors 11 11/13/07 1:24 PM
THE ECONOMY: Life becomes difficult jburkeson1 Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors 0 9/2/07 11:34 PM
Michigan economy takes a beating jburkeson1 Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors 4 5/28/07 3:12 PM
Economy Moving Forward jmckenna1 Miscellaneous Discussion for Inspectors 1 3/25/07 9:32 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 1:17 PM.


Popular Sections

:

All Sections

Inspection News

InterNACHI Membership

Inspection Standards

Inspection Education

InterNACHI Inspectors

Inspection Links

 

 

 

NACHI.ORG Statistics

 

 

no new posts