Has Obama Already Won?

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

WOW! Early Voting Summary!


by brownsox

Sat Nov 01, 2008 at 06:35:04 PM PDT

COLORADO
Early voting is through the roof in Colorado - fully 68.8 percent of all ballots cast in 2004. 37.7% of ballots were requested by Democrats, 35.9% by Republicans.

FLORIDA
More than 3.75 million people have voted early in Florida, and things look good for Democrats:

But so far this year, early-voting Democrats are outnumbering Republicans at those sites by more than 20 percentage points, and a WSVN–Suffolk University poll has Barack Obama leading over John McCain 60% to 40% among early voters.

In 2004, 36% of votes cast were early or absentee votes. Of those, 40.7% were by registered Democrats, 43.5% by Republicans.
This year, early voting numbers are even higher - 46.9% of the total 2004 vote - and Dems exceed Republicans; 45.6% of early voters are Dems, 37.8% are Republicans.
That bodes extremely well for Barack Obama's chances at taking Florida's 27 electoral votes, and it oughta help House candidates Alan Grayson (FL-0, Christine Jennings (FL-13), Annette Taddeo (FL-1, Raul Martinez (FL-21), Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24) and Joe Garcia (FL-25).

GEORGIA
Two million people, a record, cast early ballots in Georgia. That's 60% of the total 2004 vote.
Blacks comprise 35% of Georgia early voters, and women 56%, suggesting that as of right now, Barack Obama and Jim Martin are winning big.

NEVADA
With more than 600,000 Nevadans already having voted,

The early voting in advance of Election Day has been so heavy that Secretary of State Ross Miller increased his total turnout prediction from about 1 million to 1.1 million voters. That lowers the early-absentee balloting percentage — but it's still at 56 percent of the revised total of expected voters.

In Clark County, Democratic early voting outstrips Republican by 52% to 31%, while in traditionally Republican Washoe County (where just a couple of weeks ago, Democratic registration topped Republicans for the first time since 1978), 47% of early voters are Democrats to 35% Republicans.
Being registered to a party is no guarantee you'll vote for all its candidates, of course, but the trend is good.