Homeowners, Lenders Skirt Default, May Curb U.S. Housing Slump

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Homeowners, Lenders Skirt Default, May Curb U.S. Housing Slump

By Kathleen M. Howley

March 21 (Bloomberg) -- Rolando Ruiz and Stephanie Rodrigues telephoned their mortgage lender two weeks ago and offered to hand over the keys to their three-bedroom house in Providence, Rhode Island. They lost their jobs and haven't made a loan payment since January.

``I told the bank to come get the keys and just let me know when we need to be out, but they said why not put it up for sale and we might be able to work something out,'' said Rodrigues, the 22-year-old mother of two girls.

Homeowners such as the Rhode Island couple are finding their mortgage companies eager to accept a sale price that falls short of a property's loan balance -- a so-called mortgage short sale.

The number of U.S. loans entering foreclosure reached an all-time high in the fourth quarter, according to the Washington-based Mortgage Bankers Association. That's spawning a cottage industry of real estate investors who profit as lenders try to avoid adding properties to their portfolios.

``Banks don't want to be real estate managers,'' said Doug Duncan, chief economist of the mortgage association. ``The fact that delinquencies are rising means we're going to see more pre- foreclosure sales.''

Almost 5 percent of U.S. mortgages had payments overdue by 30 days or more at the end of last year, the highest since 2003, Duncan said. No one tracks or estimates the number of borrowers who avoid foreclosure with a short sale, according to Duncan and David Berson, chief economist of Washington-based Fannie Mae, the largest buyer of mortgages. There's ample evidence that the number is increasing, they said.

`It's Happening'

``Clearly it's happening and the numbers are rising,'' Berson said. ``What we need to know to be concerned is how it compares to the last cycle, but no one tracks that.''

The short sales may mitigate the impact of the housing slump as the properties avoid being tallied as foreclosures. At the same time, they will help push the U.S. median home price to a third consecutive quarterly decline in 2007's first three months, Berson said.

``The way the banks see it, it's better than if the house goes into foreclosure, stands empty, and sees its value spiral downward before it's auctioned on the courthouse steps,'' Duncan said. ``It helps to clear the market.''

Both sides benefit from the transaction. Lenders absolve a portion of the mortgage and don't end up owning property. Although borrowers lose their homes, they avoid the stigma of default, making it more likely they will buy another property in the future.

Complete Story.

[whandley]

95% of all US mortgages were paid on time and current at the end of 2006.... The bank and mortgage industry will take the ratio allllllll day long. Keep in mind, when the paper issues a statement that 8 billion dollars in sub prime loans are heading south, that doesn't mean anyone is loosing 8 billion. In fact, the mortgage holder typically recovers 90% of the loan amount during the foreclosure process. Actual loss of 800 million. A drop in the bucket with regard to the US housing loan market in the trillions!

With the prospect of continued unlimited immigation and therefore the need for more housing relating to same, how can the housing market possibly have a negative long term outlook? not going to happen. Forget selling your house, take a second job, get some friends together and get out there and buy property!

[Joseph Burkeson, CMI]

Originally Posted by whandley

Forget selling your house, take a second job, get some friends together and get out there and buy property!

Panama Red is back in town.